The Iranian Conflict: A “Perfect Storm”

As featured in The Business Times


The Iran conflict has created what many are calling a “perfect storm” for energy traders — disruption to supply, freight, insurance and logistics all hitting at once.

But market pressure is not the legal test. Force majeure notices often require high stakes and time sensitive assessments which made by traders and lawyers working collaboratively.


Our View

Force Majeure claims are both time and fact sensitive, requiring nuanced advice on how and when to respond given the high stakes outcomes that might arise from non-performance and termination.


Where This Breaks Down

1. Disruption is not enough
    Higher costs, delays and volatility do not meet the threshold.

2. It doesn’t pass down the chain
    An upstream declaration does not excuse downstream obligations.

3. Suspension is temporary, loss will eventually crystallize  
    And when that happens, disputes will follow.


Key Takeaway

A “perfect storm” requires a collaborative approach with lawyers that understand the law, the market and are experienced in crisis management situations.


Read the full article

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/perfect-storm-singapore-energy-traders-lawyers-grapple-iran-war-fallout

Insights

2026 Risk Mitigation Report: Risk, Resilience & Recovery
A key report for stakeholders navigating risk and how to structure design choices around verification,
GTR Asia 2026 Singapore
Our MD, Baldev Bhinder moderated an interactive panel at GTR Asia, using a case study
Asset Recovery Series: Finding the Money – Investigation and Disclosure Before Judgment
Recovery is a race against information. By the time a cause of action accrues, the
After the 2020 collapse of commodity traders such as Hin Leong and Zenrock left banks